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San Francisco voters could be belief as abounding as bristles tax backpack measures this fall, in what will be a analysis of how the coronavirus-fueled recession influences attitudes on bread-and-butter advance and whether the city’s big businesses are advantageous their fair share.

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Four of the bristles tax-increase proposals — which accept been placed on the November election but could still be aloof up until the end of July — were abiding in the pre-COVID canicule of 2019 aback the burghal was alike with cash, the hotels were arranged with business travelers, unemployment was about 2% and the advance of tech companies seemed limitless.

Now the burghal faces a badly altered bread-and-butter landscape: a $1.5 billion arrears over the abutting two years, 12.6% unemployment and the flight of bags of tech workers, abounding of whom are abrogation the cher Bay Area to assignment accidentally from added affordable locations.

While pro-business groups altercate that the accepted bloom and bread-and-butter crisis is absolutely the amiss time to acquaint new taxes, associates of the progressive-dominated Lath of Admiral say the burghal will charge the added acquirement to abide accouterment capital services.

“We are in a crisis area we are activity to accept (blown) a aperture in our capital bloom acknowledgment arrangement unless we ask some companies to advice out a little more,” said Supervisor Matt Haney. “And these companies can pay a little bit more. These companies absorb that abundant on lunch.”

Haney, forth with Supervisor Hillary Ronen, is abaft one of the three acquirement measures: a tax on CEOs earning at atomic 100 times the boilerplate assets of their boilerplate worker. The tax could administer to companies such as Wells Fargo, Visa, Gap Inc., Comcast, Bank of America, JP Morgan and Chipotle, according to Chronicle analysis and the city’s arch economist, Ted Egan.

It would accession as abundant as $140 actor annually.

Another measure, by Supervisor Gordon Mar, would put a 1.12% amount tax on stock-based advantage and is accepted to accession $50 actor to $150 million. It would administer to any accessible aggregation that issues banal options or added disinterestedness grants to its employees.

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A third, by Supervisor Dean Preston, would bifold the alteration tax from about 3% to 6% for residential and bartering backdrop awash for added than $10 million. Some of the acquirement from that admeasurement would go to advice atone baby landlords who were clumsy to aggregate hire because their tenants absent assets because of coronavirus.

The fourth and fifth measures, the best absolute and complicated, are two aggressive proposals to check the city’s gross receipts tax, one by Ambassador London Breed and the added by the Lath of Supervisors. Both proposals would abridge the tax cipher and annihilate what charcoal of the city’s amount tax, which was meant to be phased out over several years but has lingered because the gross receipts tax did not accession abundant money.

And both versions would alleviate money from Proposition C, the 2018 acknowledged election admeasurement demanding big business to armamentarium homelessness programs. While the burghal has been accession the Prop. C money, it has not been able to absorb it because of a accusation over the measure’s allowance of victory. Both gross receipts tax reforms would accord companies a tax breach if they accede to let the burghal accumulate the Prop. C money, alike if the courts bang bottomward the admeasurement and adjustment the funds to be repaid. Prop. C has been bringing in $250 actor to $300 actor annually.

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The aberration is that Breed’s angle “contains no cogent tax increases,” while the lath adaptation would accomplish about $181 actor a year in added tax revenue.

Business leaders are giving all the proposed tax increases a thumbs down. Jay Chang of the San Francisco Chamber of Commerce said the board’s adaptation of the gross receipts tax would abuse low-margin businesses that accept lower amount but aerial gross receipts. These industries accommodate hotels, restaurants, auto dealerships and grocery stores.

“Of advance I’m adjoin it,” said Sal Qaqundah, who owns Arguello Market, a baby grocery abundance in the Richmond District. “Every time you about-face around, there is a new tax.”

Under the proposal, hotels would pay an estimated 13% more.

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Kevin Carroll, controlling administrator of the Hotel Council of San Francisco, said the taxes would accomplish it harder to reopen the industry, which — afore the communicable — active 24,000 workers and paid $440 actor a year in allowance amount taxes.

“Our industry is already devastated because of COVID,” he said. “Any new taxes or added costs would accumulate us from hiring aback our employees. For our industry, alike suggesting new taxes doesn’t accomplish sense. If annihilation we should be attractive at means to abate taxes.”

Jennifer Stojkovic, controlling administrator of tech advancement accumulation sf.citi, said it’s not a acceptable time to add taxes “while we are adverse the absolute achievability of an departure of the tech industry in San Francisco.”

“Adding a accomplished agglomeration of taxes all at already aback we are in the boilerplate of massive layoffs is the amiss administration to go in,” Stojkovic said. “We appetite to focus on bread-and-butter recovery. How are we declared to balance if we are accepting hit with new taxes at the election every six months?”

San Francisco companies that accept appear above layoffs accommodate Uber, Airbnb, Lyft, Zenefits, Eventbrite, Lending Club and Sonder.

Still, it’s cryptic how abounding of these measures will absolutely end up on the ballot. Admiral generally put measures on the election aboriginal in the summer as acceding chips, and the stock-based advantage may comedy that role, according to Burghal Hall observers. Either the ambassador or the admiral blame the college revenue-generating adaptation of the gross-receipts tax could accede to cull their admeasurement in barter for changes to the added measures.

Haney said that “nobody wants to see two aggressive gross cancellation measures on the ballot” and that he is assertive a accommodation will be struck. Mar denied that the banal advantage admeasurement is a acceding chip, abacus that it’s “a acceptable angle and has the abutment of the accessible and my colleagues.”

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Jason McDaniel, an accessory assistant of political science at San Francisco State University, said the political altitude favors autonomous taxes that clasp added money from big business. After a decade-long bang that has fabricated San Francisco the best big-ticket burghal in the country, it will be boxy to accomplish best burghal voters ache with ample corporations that are aback suffering, he said.

“All the activity would be with progressives on this appropriate now,” he said. “I don’t anticipate the budgetary approaching of big business is article bodies are afraid about. It’s about attention baby business, bloom care, teachers, the community.”

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Jim Stearns, a adept accelerating political operative, said the taxes are all neatly crafted in such a way that they ambition a attenuated accumulation of affluent businesses and individuals and not boilerplate renters or homeowners.

“It is absolutely bright from every poll I’ve done that bodies absolutely appetite to tax the wealthy,” he said. “People are ashen about the gross alterity in wealth. They are accepting unemployment, or still cat-and-mouse to get unemployment, and apprehensive how they are activity to pay their rent. And again they see that Jeff Bezos fabricated $5 billion during the pandemic.” The Amazon CEO’s net account has absolutely added by added than $50 billion back the shelter-in-place orders went into effect.

Laurie Thomas, a restaurant buyer who is controlling administrator of the Golden Gate Restaurant Association, said the bearings is added nuanced and apprenticed the lath to authority off on new taxes until the fallout from the coronavirus is bigger understood.

“We accept a affliction burghal appropriate now,” she said. “Many of us accept had to lay off our workers. Owners accept not taken compensation, accept not been able to pay their bills. We accept all had to radically amend how we do business. I don’t anticipate a tax access in any area is activity to be helpful.”

J.K. Dineen is a San Francisco Chronicle agents writer. Email: [email protected] Twitter: @sfjkdineen

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